Ukraine in the Third and Fourth Years of the War
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.31861/mediaforum.2026.18.136-162Keywords:
independence, USSR, Donbas, civil society, Orange Revolution, Munich, economy, securityAbstract
In this text, the author analyzes Ukraine's situation in the third and fourth years of open conflict with Russia. He begins by presenting several reasons from the early 1990s, when independent Ukraine was being formed, which influenced its subsequent relations with the Russian Federation. The recollection of these few events from mutual relations is not intended to be nostalgic, but rather to show the deep causes of the current conflict. The current war is not about Putin's ambitions, but has deeper roots in contemporary Russia's perception of this former large Soviet republic, rich in land and human capital. In this context, Putin's speech at the Munich conference in 2007 was “only” a loud expression of grievances and resentments against the backdrop of the collapse of the USSR, but it was not merely an expression of regret, but a deliberate attempt to drive a wedge into the NATO alliance. Since the beginning of its independence, Ukraine has been a battleground for different social models, guided by different principles and varying levels of participation in government. After 1991, Ukraine and Russia signed various agreements and treaties, but Russia continued to pressure successive Ukrainian governments to return the country to its former sphere of influence. The return of Donald Trump to power is an indisputable turning point, also for this conflict. His political style is also reflected in his military actions. We are witnessing a reconstruction of the architecture created at the end of World War II and modified after the Cold War. Despite the ongoing war, Ukraine has recently undertaken several economic initiatives aimed at strengthening the economy. When thinking about this, the conflict over Ukrainian grain being sent abroad comes to mind first, but there are other events in the economy that point to attempts to introduce several projects aimed at strengthening the Ukrainian state.
Downloads
References
1. Bort Ch. (2024) How the Traumas of 2004 Blinded Putin. https://carnegieendowment.org/research/2024/11 /how-the-traumas-of-2004-blinded-putin?lang=en
2. Brzeziński Z. Premature Partnership. Foreign Affairs. 03-04 1994. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/russian-federation/1994-03-01/premature/partnership
3. Bush Sr. clarifies ‘Chicken Kiev’ speech. Washington Times z 23 maja 2004. https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2004/may/23/20040523-101623-2724r/
4. Chawryło K., Menkiszak M., Rodkiewicz W. (2025). Rosja wobec zwycięstwa Trumpa: niepewność, asertywność i oczekiwanie na ofertę. Trzeci rok wojny w analizach Ośrodka Studiów Wschodnich. s. 373-374. https://www.osw.waw.pl/sites/default/files/III%20rok%20wojny_www.pdf
5. Frymark K., Gibadło L. (2025). Partia pokoju: sygnały z SPD o zamrożeniu wojny na Ukrainie. A. Wilk, P. Żochowski. Trzeci rok wojny w analizach Ośrodka Studiów Wschodnich, Warszawa. s. 63. https://www.osw.waw.pl /sites/default/files/III%20rok%20wojny_www.pdf
6. Kazanski D.,Worotyncewa M. (2024). Jak Ukraina traciła Donbas, Kraków 2024, tł. M. Piotrowski, s. 54-58.
7. Łabuszewska A. (red.), Konieczna J. (2005) Pomarańczowa rewolucja na Ukrainie. Próba zrozumienia przyczyn, Ośrodek Studiów Wschodnich, Warszawa. s. 6-8.
8. Lapychak, Chrystyna (1991). Ukraine, Russia sign interim bilateral pact. The Ukrainian Weekly. 1.09.1991.
9. Matuszak S., Popławski K. (2025). Na europejskich torach. Wojenna transformacja kolei na zachodniej Ukrainie. Trzeci rok wojny w analizach Ośrodka Studiów Wschodnich. s. 14-15. https://www.osw.waw.pl /sites/default/files/III%20rok%20wojny_www.pdf
10. Matuszak S (2025). Wymiana handlowa Ukrainy w 2024 roku – odtworzenie szlaków logistycznych. Trzeci rok wojny w analizach Ośrodka Studiów Wschodnich. S.455-456. https://www.osw.waw.pl/sites/default/files/ III%20rok%20wojny_www.pdf
11. Mironowicz E. Rosja – Ukraina. 25 lat między „ograniczoną współpracą a ograniczoną konfrontacją”. Studia z Dziejów Rosji i Europy Środkowo-Wschodniej XLIX (z. 2). s. 202-203.
12. Olszański T.A. (2001). Ukraina wobec Rosji: stosunki dwustronne i ich uwarunkowania. Łabuszewska A (red.). Ukraina wobec Rosji: stosunki dwustronne i ich uwarunkowania; Ukraine and Russia: mutual relations and the conditions that determine them. Republika Białoruś czy republika białoruska?); The Republic of Belarus or the Belarussian republic?, Ośrodek Studiów Wschodnich, Warszawa. s. 9-11. https://www.osw.waw.pl/sites/ default/files/prace_3_1.pdf
13. Wilk A., Żochowski P. (2025). Nowe pakiety wsparcia dla Ukrainy. 873. dzień wojny. Trzeci rok wojny w analizach Ośrodka Studiów Wschodnich. s. 225. https://www.osw.waw.pl/sites/default /files/III%20rok%20wojny_www.pdf
14. Zespół Bezpieczeństwa i Obronności OSW. (2025). Co po Monachium: perspektywa zmniejszenia obecności USA w Europie. Trzeci rok wojny w analizach Ośrodka Studiów Wschodnich. s. 496. https://www.osw.waw.pl/sites/default/files/III%20rok%20wojny_www.pdf
Published
Issue
Section
License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.









